Live prediction market odds for New Mexico Senate winner?. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Ben Ray Luján (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the New Mexico Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election.
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the New Mexico Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election. The outcome will influence party control in the Senate, impacting legislative agendas and national political dynamics.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Ben Ray Luján (D)WINNER | Yes |
Larry E. Marker (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of New Mexico for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from New Mexico. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are key factors. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout can significantly impact the race.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of an event's outcome. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of different candidates winning.
The New Mexico Senate election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election day in the United States.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
