Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Live prediction market odds for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 11, 2026. Other (not listed) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Nobel Peace Prize Winner for 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Nobel Peace Prize Winner for 2026. The outcome of this prestigious award can influence global political dynamics and highlight key humanitarian efforts recognized by the international community.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
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Other (not listed)WINNER | Yes |
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Person W | No result |
Person X | No result |
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Ahmed al-Sharaa | No |
António Guterres | No |
Benjamin Netanyahu | No |
Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue | No |
Charlie Kirk | No |
Chow Hang-tung | No |
Committee to Protect Journalists | No |
Doctors Without Borders | No |
Donald Trump | No |
Elon Musk | No |
European Union | No |
Francesca Albanese | No |
Greta Thunberg | No |
Hussam Abu Safiya | No |
ICRC | No |
Ilham Tohti | No |
International Association of Judges | No |
International Court of Justice | No |
International Criminal Court | No |
International Peace Research Association | No |
International Space Station | No |
Jimmy Lai | No |
Julian Assange | No |
Khaled Mashal | No |
Mark Carney | No |
Minneapolis | No |
Mohammed bin Salman | No |
Mykola Kuleba | No |
Narendra Modi | No |
Narges Mohammadi | No |
Parents Circle – Families Forum | No |
Pope Leo XIV | No |
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | No |
Reporters Without Borders | No |
Sara Al-Saqqa | No |
Save the Children | No |
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | No |
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | No |
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani | No |
UNHCR | No |
UNRWA | No |
Vladimir Putin | No |
Volodymyr Zelenskyy | No |
World Central Kitchen | No |
Xi Jinping | No |
Yad Vashem | No |
Yulia Navalnaya | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Polymarket USIf Donald Trump wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The specified person or organization will be considered to have won the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize if they are announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee as the sole or joint recipient of the Prize. Membership or leadership in an organization that receives the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize will not count for settlement.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Odds are influenced by current events, nominees' public actions, and global political climates. Media coverage and public opinion also play significant roles in shaping perceptions of potential winners.
The Nobel Peace Prize is typically announced on the second Friday of October each year. In 2026, this date falls on October 10.
Winning the Nobel Peace Prize can elevate a recipient's profile and amplify their causes on a global stage. It often leads to increased advocacy and support for the issues they represent.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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