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Live prediction market odds for NY-25 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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NY-25 House winner?

Listed Sep 18, 2026 · Updated Sep 19, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jan 4, 2027

2026 Midterms hubNew

Every 2026 House seat beside the Senate and governor races, priced across every venue.
Open the hub

Best price · tap to trade

Joseph Morelle (D)99¢1.01xKalshiVirginia McIntyre (R)4¢25.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Joseph Morelle (D) about a 97.4% chance. Virginia McIntyre (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Traders give Joseph Morelle (D) about a 97.4% chance. Virginia McIntyre (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-25 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and polling data leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JM
Joseph Morelle (D)
97%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket98¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.8%97¢99¢1¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.9%96¢98¢3¢4¢
VM
Virginia McIntyre (R)
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket3¢
Kalshi28.57x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.1%0.7¢4¢97¢99.3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.2%1¢3¢97¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Joseph Morelle (D)

Joseph D. Morelle is the U.S. Representative for New York's 25th congressional district, serving since 2018. Before his congressional tenure, he was the Majority Leader of the New York State Assembly from 2013 to 2018. As Ranking Member of the House Administration Committee, he plays a key role in overseeing federal election processes, making him highly relevant to this prediction market.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$23K
Leader

Joseph Morelle (D)

97.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NY-25 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NY-25 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the NY-25 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds for the NY-25 House winner?

Odds are affected by candidate campaigning efforts, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.

Which platforms are tracking the NY-25 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the NY-25 House election winner.

What does the NY-25 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NY-25 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Joseph Morelle (D): 97.8¢ on Kalshi, 96.9¢ on Polymarket; Virginia McIntyre (R): 2.1¢ on Kalshi, 2.2¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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