Live prediction market odds for OH-09 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 5, 2026. Marcy Kaptur (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket US and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the OH-09 House Election, held on November 18, 2026.
Polymarket US and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the OH-09 House Election, held on November 18, 2026. The market resolves based on the official certification of results by the Ohio Secretary of State following the election, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and local issues leading up to the vote.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Marcy Kaptur (D)WINNER | Yes |
Derek Merrin (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for OH-9 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OH-09 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
The OH-09 House Election is scheduled for November 18, 2026. This date is critical for determining the election outcome.
The winner will be determined by the official certification of results by the Ohio Secretary of State. This certification follows the election and confirms the final vote count.
Odds can be influenced by candidate campaigns, local issues, and voter sentiment leading up to the election. Changes in polling data and major news events can also impact market prices.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
