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Live prediction market odds for Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

Listed Jun 14, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026 · Expected to settle by Nov 3, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

$75 Or Above99¢1.01xKalshi$76 Or Above99¢1.01xKalshi$77 Or Above98¢1.02xKalshi
Compare all 43 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give $75 Or Above about a 97.5% chance. $76 Or Above follows at 97.5%, $77 Or Above follows at 97.0%, and $78 Or Above follows at 97.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give $75 Or Above about a 97.5% chance. $76 Or Above follows at 97.5%, $77 Or Above follows at 97.0%, and $78 Or Above follows at 97.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking the oil price (WTI) on Election Day, November 3, 2026. Fluctuations in oil prices can have widespread economic implications, influencing everything from consumer spending to geopolitical stability.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
$O
$75 Or Above
single venue98%
Kalshi99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.5%96¢99¢1¢4¢
$O
$76 Or Above
single venue98%
Kalshi99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.5%96¢99¢1¢4¢
$O
$77 Or Above
single venue97%
Kalshi98¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.0%96¢98¢2¢4¢
$O
$78 Or Above
single venue97%
Kalshi98¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.0%96¢98¢2¢4¢
$O
$79 Or Above
single venue97%
Kalshi97¢
Kalshi1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.5%96¢97¢3¢4¢
KalshiKalshi

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates43
Volume$917K
Leader

$75 Or Above

97.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above $72.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is the oil price on Election Day significant?

Oil prices can impact the economy, affecting inflation and consumer behavior. The outcome of elections may also influence energy policies, further affecting market dynamics.

What factors could influence WTI oil prices by November 2026?

Global supply and demand, geopolitical tensions, and OPEC decisions are key factors. Additionally, economic conditions and technological advancements in energy can also play a role.

How do prediction markets reflect oil price expectations?

Prediction markets aggregate participant insights and expectations about future events. Prices in these markets can indicate collective beliefs about upcoming economic conditions and policy changes.

What does the Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026) odds?

The latest available prices are $75 Or Above: 97.5¢ on Kalshi; $76 Or Above: 97.5¢ on Kalshi; $77 Or Above: 97.0¢ on Kalshi; $78 Or Above: 97.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Will Oil Be Above $83 on Election Day? WTI Sits $14 Over the LineWTI settled at $97.15 on Oct 21. Hormuz mine attacks and Houthi strikes on Aramco keep crude more than $14 above the $83 strike.Oct 21, 2026Will Oil Be Above $89 on Election Day? Odds Rise to 84%WTI traded near $97 on Oct 19 after Iran-linked tanker attacks in Hormuz, still roughly $8 above the $89 strike, and the contract stands at 84%.Oct 19, 2026Will Oil Be Above $97 on Election Day? WTI Tops $100 on HormuzWTI settled at $101.41 on Oct 16, about $4.41 above the strike. The IEA diesel release and a possible SPR exchange could cap further gains.Oct 17, 2026Oil at $100 on Election Day? Odds Double as Middle East TensionsThe $100-or-above contract rose from 13% to 27% in three days. Front-month WTI settled near $95 after Houthi strikes near Dhahran and Hormuz tanker attacks.Oct 15, 2026
No price history available