Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Pro viewNew
Every venue, one board

Moneyline, spread, total and props, with the best price per side.

Open Pro view
Odds
SportsNFLNCAAFMLBCrypto
TennisElectionsPoliticsEconomicsEntertainmentAll Markets
Futures
NFLNCAAFMLBMidtermsNew
2028 PresidentialTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo CodeNovig Promo CodeProphetX Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Live odds across every major platform
  • Find the best price instantly
  • Spot live arbitrage opportunities
  • See where profitable traders are betting
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Live odds across every major platform
  • Find the best price instantly
  • Spot live arbitrage opportunities
  • See where profitable traders are betting
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • NBA Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • 2026 MidtermsNew
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitrageMidtermsPromos

Live prediction market odds for US gas prices on Election Day. Compare prices across Kalshi.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

US gas prices on Election Day

Listed Aug 5, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026 · Expected to settle by Nov 3, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Above 4.0097¢1.03xKalshiAbove 4.2550¢2.00xKalshiAbove 4.503¢33.33xKalshi
Compare all 5 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give Above 4.00 about a 96.5% chance. Above 4.25 follows at 46.5%, Above 4.50 follows at 2.0%, and Above 4.75 follows at 1.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Above 4.00 about a 96.5% chance. Above 4.25 follows at 46.5%, Above 4.50 follows at 2.0%, and Above 4.75 follows at 1.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking US gas prices on Election Day, November 3, 2026. Fluctuations in gas prices can influence voter sentiment and turnout, making this a critical economic indicator during the election cycle.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
A4
Above 4.00
single venue97%
Kalshi97¢
Kalshi1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.5%96¢97¢3¢4¢
A4
Above 4.25
single venue47%
Kalshi50¢
Kalshi2.00x50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
46.5%43¢50¢50¢57¢
A4
Above 4.50
single venue2%
Kalshi3¢
Kalshi33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢
A4
Above 4.75
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
A5
Above 5.00
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
KalshiKalshi

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates5
Volume$166K
Leader

Above 4.00

96.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: US gas prices on Election Day

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are gas prices significant on Election Day?

Gas prices can affect voter turnout and sentiment, as high prices may lead to dissatisfaction with the current administration. Economic conditions often play a crucial role in electoral outcomes.

What factors influence gas prices leading up to the election?

Factors include crude oil prices, supply chain issues, and seasonal demand fluctuations. Additionally, geopolitical events can impact oil production and pricing.

How do prediction markets help gauge gas prices on Election Day?

Prediction markets aggregate collective insights and expectations about future events, such as gas prices. They provide a real-time reflection of market sentiment based on various economic indicators.

What does the US gas prices on Election Day prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest US gas prices on Election Day odds?

The latest available prices are Above 4.00: 96.5¢ on Kalshi; Above 4.25: 46.5¢ on Kalshi; Above 4.50: 2.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 4.75: 1.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation

View

Will legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated become law before Jan 1, 2027?

View

Marie Bouzkova vs. Sara Bejlek

View

MN-02 House winner?

View

Lavked vs. HAVU

Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Will Gas Be Above $4.25 on Election Day? Russia Waiver Hits OilAAA's average was $4.2786 on Oct. 20, about 3 cents over the line, down from $4.3413 a week earlier as oil and gasoline futures eased.Oct 20, 2026Will Gas Be Above $4 on Election Day? Prices Slip, but the Cushion HoldsAAA's average fell to $4.3085 on Oct. 17, about 31 cents over $4.00, and the Above 4.00 contract rose from 88% to 94%.Oct 18, 2026Gas Above $4.50 on Election Day? Odds Fall as AAA Shows $4.33AAA's $4.33 average on Oct 15 leaves a 17-cent climb needed by Nov. 3. WTI crude near $95 has not lifted pump prices.Oct 16, 2026Gas Above $4.25 on Election Day? Kalshi Odds Rise to 58%The AAA average was $4.34 on Oct. 13, about 9 cents over the line, as oil stayed elevated after Houthi strikes on Riyadh's airport.Oct 13, 2026