Vermont Republican Governor nominee? | Historical Odds

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Vermont Republican Governor nominee?

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Vermont Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Vermont Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. This nomination is crucial as it will shape the party's strategy and influence the political landscape in Vermont leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

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Final Closing Odds

1 platform

Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.

Question	Result
Phil Scott	Yes
Candidate A	No result
Candidate B	No result
Candidate C	No result
Candidate D	No result
Candidate E	No result
Candidate F	No result
Candidate G	No result
Candidate H	No result

Candidate Spotlight

About Phil Scott

Phil Scott is the current Republican Governor of Vermont, serving his fifth term since January 2025. He previously held the position of Lieutenant Governor from 2011 to 2017 and has been a member of the Vermont Senate. As the incumbent governor, he is eligible to seek re-election in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.

About John Rodgers

John Rodgers is the current Lieutenant Governor of Vermont, serving since January 9, 2025. He previously served in the Vermont Senate from 2013 to 2021 and in the Vermont House of Representatives from 2003 to 2011. His experience in state politics and recent election as Lieutenant Governor make him a notable figure in Vermont's political landscape.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If John Rodgers wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles

Republican Party

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Vermont Republican Governor nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and party dynamics play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and campaign strategies can impact market perceptions.

When is the Vermont Republican Governor nomination taking place?

The nomination is set to occur ahead of the general election on August 11, 2026. Candidates will be vying for support in the lead-up to this date.

How do prediction markets reflect political events like this nomination?

Prediction markets aggregate the collective opinions of participants, providing insights into perceived probabilities of outcomes. As new information emerges, such as debates or policy announcements, odds may fluctuate accordingly.

What does the Vermont Republican Governor nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Vermont Republican Governor nominee odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.