Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Live prediction market odds for Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Compare all 16 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Angela Alsobrooks about a 6.0% chance. Mike Lee follows at 5.3%, Jerry Moran follows at 2.6%, and Lisa Blunt Rochester follows at 4.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.8 percentage points.
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KalshiIf Mike Lee votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The vote must be the first final vote on the bill, not a motion to proceed or motion to invoke cloture, unless otherwise specified. This must be a vote in the relevant full chamber, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by the member to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.
The Clarity Act is proposed legislation aimed at addressing specific regulatory issues. Its provisions could have significant implications for various sectors, including finance and technology.
Senators' votes are critical as they determine whether the Clarity Act will pass through the legislative process. The outcome could shape future policies and regulations.
Factors include party alignment, constituent interests, and the potential economic impact of the legislation. Lobbying efforts and public opinion may also play a significant role.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Angela Alsobrooks: 6.0¢ on Kalshi; Mike Lee: 6.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.7¢ on Polymarket; Jerry Moran: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.2¢ on Polymarket; Lisa Blunt Rochester: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 3.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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Trader up $232K lifetime bought $1.6K of No at 94¢
7d agoWill Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Trade on Kalshi 
