Live prediction market odds for Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?. Compare prices across Polymarket.
Resolved 2027-01-01
This market resolved on 2027-01-01. Bill Cassidy was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche. This event is pivotal as it reflects party dynamics and influences legislative outcomes in the Senate, impacting future policy decisions.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Bill CassidyWINNER | 100% |
John Cornyn | 100% |
Rand Paul | 100% |
Lisa Murkowski | 0% |
John Fetterman | 0% |
Mitch McConnell | 0% |
Susan Collins | 0% |
Thom Tillis | 0% |
Bill Cassidy
99.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Thom Tillis votes Yea for Todd Blanche for Attorney General before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Should such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Thom Tillis to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.
Factors include party loyalty, public opinion, and the political climate leading up to the vote. Senators may also consider the implications for their re-election prospects.
Prediction markets aggregate bets placed by participants, reflecting their insights and expectations about the voting outcomes. These odds can fluctuate based on new information or developments in the political landscape.
The vote could determine Blanche's influence within the Senate and affect the broader legislative agenda. It also serves as a barometer for party unity and the strength of various factions within the Senate.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Bill Cassidy: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; John Cornyn: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Rand Paul: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Lisa Murkowski: 0.2¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
