Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?. Compare prices across Polymarket US and PredictIt.
Listed Updated
Traders give Benjamin Netanyahu - Prime Minister of Israel about a 55.3% chance. Pedro Sanchez - Prime Minister of Spain follows at 18.5%, Sebastien Lecornu - Prime Minister of France follows at 16.0%, and Rodrigo Paz Pereira - President of Bolivia follows at 10.5%. Compare prices from Polymarket US and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 67.5 percentage points.
Polymarket US
PredictItPolymarket USPredictItOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu formally ceases to hold the position of Prime Minister of Israel by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel. Benjamin Netanyahu must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The market resolves when world leaders officially leave office by January 15, 2027. This includes resignations, removals, or other forms of departure.
Odds fluctuate based on political developments, such as elections, scandals, or public opinion shifts. These events can signal potential changes in leadership.
The final outcome will be determined by January 15, 2027, when all relevant leaders' statuses are confirmed. Markets will close once the resolution criteria are met.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Benjamin Netanyahu - Prime Minister of Israel: 89.0¢ on PredictIt, 21.5¢ on Polymarket US; Pedro Sanchez - Prime Minister of Spain: 18.5¢ on Polymarket US; Sebastien Lecornu - Prime Minister of France: 16.0¢ on Polymarket US; Rodrigo Paz Pereira - President of Bolivia: 10.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
