Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
Listed Updated
Traders give Pablo Hernández de Cos about a 87.0% chance. Klaas Knot follows at 52.0%, Fabio Panetta follows at 37.0%, and Joachim Nagel follows at 3.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 87.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PredictItKalshiPredictItOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Klaas Knot formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.
The market resolves when the European Council officially appoints a new President of the European Central Bank. This appointment is influenced by various factors, including candidate qualifications and economic conditions.
Candidate profiles impact market odds as traders assess their qualifications, experience, and alignment with current economic policies. Changes in public perception or endorsements can also lead to fluctuations in odds.
The European Council is responsible for appointing the President of the European Central Bank. Their decision is based on discussions among EU member states regarding the candidate's suitability for the role.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Pablo Hernández de Cos: 87.0¢ on Kalshi; Klaas Knot: 16.0¢ on Kalshi, 88.0¢ on PredictIt; Fabio Panetta: 37.0¢ on Kalshi; Joachim Nagel: 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 90.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
