Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Live prediction market odds for Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Traders give During Trump's term about a 9.5% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Panama Canal was controlled by the U.S. until 1999 when it was handed over to Panama. This transition has influenced U.S.-Panama relations and regional politics.
Factors may include domestic political pressures, international relations, and economic considerations. Changes in leadership in Panama or shifts in U.S. foreign policy could also play a role.
Public opinion can significantly impact political decisions, especially in an election year. If a substantial portion of the electorate supports reclaiming control, it may influence Trump's stance.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are During Trump's term: 9.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.