2026 Brazil Presidential Election
Live prediction market odds for 2026 Brazil Presidential Election. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Brazil Presidential Election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Brazil Presidential Election. This election will determine the country's leadership amid ongoing economic challenges and political polarization, making it a pivotal moment for Brazil's future direction.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | Yes |
Other | No result |
Person O | No result |
Person P | No result |
Person Q | No result |
Person R | No result |
Person S | No result |
Person T | No result |
Person U | No result |
Person V | No result |
Person W | No result |
Person X | No result |
Person Y | No result |
Person Z | No result |
Aldo Rebelo | No |
Aldo Rebelo | No |
Camilo Santana | No |
Eduardo Bolsonaro | No |
Eduardo Leite | No |
Fernando Haddad | No |
Flávio Bolsonaro | No |
Geraldo Alckmin | No |
Helder Barbalho | No |
Jair Bolsonaro | No |
Michelle Bolsonaro | No |
Person M | No |
Person N | No |
Ratinho Júnior | No |
Renan Santos | No |
Romeu Zema | No |
Romeu Zema | No |
Ronaldo Caiado | No |
Ronaldo Caiado | No |
Tarcisio de Freitas | No |
Tarcísio de Freitas | No |
Tereza Cristina | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Predict.funA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
The election will shape Brazil's political landscape and influence its economic policies. Given the country's recent political turmoil, the outcome could have lasting effects on governance and public trust.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants, providing insights into perceived probabilities of various outcomes. Fluctuations in odds can indicate shifts in public sentiment and candidate viability as the election date approaches.
Key factors include economic performance, public opinion polls, and major political events such as debates or scandals. These elements can significantly influence voter sentiment and, consequently, prediction market odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
