About This Market
Traders give Democratic Party about a 66.5% chance. Republican Party follows at 33.5%. Compare prices from Polymarket US.
2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party)
2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party)
Live prediction market odds for 2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party). Compare prices across Polymarket US.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Traders give Democratic Party about a 66.5% chance. Republican Party follows at 33.5%. Compare prices from Polymarket US.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the nominee of the Democratic Party wins the 2028 United States Presidential election. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The election winner is determined by electoral college votes. If no individual receives a majority of electoral college votes, this market will settle based on the first person formally selected, in a non-acting capacity, to assume the Presidency of the United States for the presidential term beginning after the 2028 United States presidential election under the subsequent constitutional process.
The market resolves based on the official announcement of the winning party in the 2028 US Presidential Election. This announcement will occur on November 21, 2028.
Odds fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter sentiment. Significant events, such as debates or major endorsements, can also impact the odds.
Polymarket US and Opinion are the platforms currently tracking the 2028 US Presidential Election winner by party. These platforms provide real-time odds and insights into market movements.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Democratic Party: 66.5¢ on Polymarket US; Republican Party: 33.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.