Live prediction market odds for AL-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Shomari Figures (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-02 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-02 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the House of Representatives, impacting legislative agendas and party strategies.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Shomari Figures (D)WINNER | Yes |
Rhett Marques (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AL-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the AL-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data leading up to the election. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway voter sentiment.
The AL-02 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date aligns with the general election day for federal offices.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the race's outcome. Prices reflect the collective sentiment of traders regarding the likelihood of each candidate winning.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
