Live prediction market odds for AL-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Mike Rogers (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-03 House election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-03 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 4, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mike Rogers (R)WINNER | Yes |
Lee McInnis (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AL-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 election for the AL-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
The market resolves based on the official results of the AL-03 House election held on November 4, 2026. The candidate receiving the most votes will be declared the winner.
Odds fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate campaign activities, polling data, and public sentiment as the election date approaches. Significant events, such as debates or endorsements, can also impact the odds.
Final results for the AL-03 House election will be announced on November 4, 2026. Results may be reported throughout the evening as votes are counted.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
