Live prediction market odds for AL-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-04 House race set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-04 House race set for November 3, 2026. This contest will be pivotal in determining party control in the House of Representatives, influencing legislative agendas and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Robert Aderholt (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Amanda Pusczek (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AL-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 election for the AL-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
Polling data, candidate visibility, and party support are key factors affecting the odds. Additionally, local issues and national political trends can sway voter sentiment.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. A change in control may lead to significant changes in legislative priorities and governance.
Voters will cast their ballots on November 3, 2026. Results will be tallied shortly after polls close, with official announcements expected that evening.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
