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Live prediction market odds for AL-05 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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AL-05 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Dale Strong (R)94¢1.06xPolymarket USAndrew Sneed (D)6¢16.67xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Dale Strong (R) about a 94.2% chance. Andrew Sneed (D) follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.3 percentage points.

Traders give Dale Strong (R) about a 94.2% chance. Andrew Sneed (D) follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-05 House election scheduled for November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect broader national trends in voter sentiment leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DS
Dale Strong (R)
94%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.5%93¢96¢4¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
AS
Andrew Sneed (D)
5%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US6¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.2%4¢9¢91¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
5.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.9%3¢5¢95¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Dale Strong (R)

Dale Strong is the U.S. Representative for Alabama's 5th congressional district, serving since January 3, 2023. Prior to his congressional tenure, he was the chairman of the Madison County Commission from 2012 to 2022. His extensive experience in local government and public service underscores his commitment to the region's development and governance.

About Andrew Sneed (D)

Andrew Sneed is a Huntsville small-business owner and plumber. He won the Democratic nomination for Alabama's 5th Congressional District in the June 16, 2026 runoff. He is leading a national coalition of candidates advocating for congressional reforms to rebuild voter trust.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.3%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Dale Strong (R)

94.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: AL-05 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for AL-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 election for the AL-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could influence the outcome of the AL-05 House election?

Key factors include voter turnout, campaign funding, and the political climate closer to the election date. Local issues and candidate popularity will also play significant roles.

How do prediction markets determine odds for the AL-05 House winner?

Prediction markets aggregate bets placed by participants, reflecting their expectations based on available information. As new data emerges, such as polling results and candidate announcements, odds can fluctuate.

What is the significance of the AL-05 House election in the broader political context?

The AL-05 House election is significant as it may impact party control in the House of Representatives. Results from this election could signal shifts in voter priorities and party strategies leading into future elections.

What does the AL-05 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest AL-05 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Dale Strong (R): 94.5¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US; Andrew Sneed (D): 6.2¢ on Kalshi, 3.9¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Trader up $124K lifetime bet $9.7K on No at 97¢

4d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $74.1K lifetime bet $2.9K on No at 96¢

4d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $74.1K lifetime bet $1.4K on No at 95¢

4d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $74.1K lifetime bet $2.9K on No at 96¢

4d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →