Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
Live prediction market odds for Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
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Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Barry Moore, ≥15% | No result |
Barry Moore, 0-3% | No result |
Barry Moore, 12-15% | No result |
Barry Moore, 3-6% | No result |
Barry Moore, 6-9% | No result |
Barry Moore, 9-12% | No result |
Jared Hudson, ≥15% | No result |
Jared Hudson, 0-3% | No result |
Jared Hudson, 12-15% | No result |
Jared Hudson, 3-6% | No result |
Jared Hudson, 6-9% | No result |
Jared Hudson, 9-12% | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Barry Moore runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Barry Moore will be summed. If Barry Moore wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Barry Moore loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Barry Moore ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Barry Moore is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.