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Live prediction market odds for Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

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Kalshi / Polymarket US

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Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Above 1.41M82¢1.22xKalshiAbove 1.48M74¢1.35xKalshiAbove 1.56M63¢1.59xKalshi
Compare all 5 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Above 1.41M about a 77.5% chance. Above 1.48M follows at 70.0%, Above 1.56M follows at 60.0%, and Above 1.63M follows at 46.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Traders give Above 1.41M about a 77.5% chance. Above 1.48M follows at 70.0%, Above 1.56M follows at 60.0%, and Above 1.63M follows at 46.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking voter turnout for the Alabama Senate General Election on November 3, 2026. High voter turnout can influence election outcomes and reflects civic engagement, making it a critical factor in assessing the political landscape in Alabama.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
A1
Above 1.41M
single venue78%
Kalshi82¢
—
Kalshi1.22x82¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
77.5%73¢82¢18¢27¢
A1
Above 1.48M
single venue70%
Kalshi74¢
—
Kalshi1.35x74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
70.0%65¢74¢26¢35¢
A1
Above 1.56M
single venue60%
Kalshi63¢
—
Kalshi1.59x63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
60.0%54¢63¢37¢46¢
A1
Above 1.63M
single venue47%
Kalshi51¢
—
Kalshi1.96x51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
46.5%42¢51¢49¢58¢
A1
Above 1.70M
40%
Kalshi40¢
Polymarket US46¢
Kalshi2.50x40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
38.0%32¢40¢60¢68¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
42.0%38¢46¢54¢62¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.0%
Platforms2
Candidates5
Leader

Above 1.41M

77.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the total vote count for all participants in Alabama Senate General Election is above 1410000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Alabama is above 1,700,000 (1.7M). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election. Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence voter turnout in Alabama elections?

Factors include voter registration laws, demographic trends, and the competitiveness of the election. Additionally, local issues and candidate appeal can significantly affect turnout rates.

How does voter turnout impact election results?

Higher voter turnout can favor certain candidates or parties, potentially altering the expected outcome. It often indicates increased public interest and engagement in the electoral process.

Why is tracking voter turnout important?

Tracking voter turnout helps gauge the level of public engagement and can inform campaign strategies. It also provides insights into the electorate's mood and priorities leading up to the election.

What does the Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout odds?

The latest available prices are Above 1.41M: 77.5¢ on Kalshi; Above 1.48M: 70.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 1.56M: 60.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 1.63M: 46.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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