Alaska Governor primary: who will advance? | Historical Odds

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Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Alaska Governor primary to determine which candidates will advance.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Alaska Governor primary to determine which candidates will advance. This primary is crucial as it sets the stage for the general election, impacting party dynamics and voter turnout in the state.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

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Final Closing Odds

1 platform

Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.

Question	Result
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	Yes
Bruce Walden	No result
Destry J. Payne Sr	No result
Gregg Brelsford	No result
Jessica Faircloth	No result
Bill Walker	No
Lesil McGuire	No

Candidate Spotlight

About Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is a former member of the Alaska House of Representatives, serving from 2013 to 2023. He is currently running for governor of Alaska, aiming to address the state's challenges through bipartisan collaboration. His extensive legislative experience and commitment to public service make him a significant contender in the gubernatorial race.

About Bill Walker

Bill Walker is an independent candidate for the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election. He served as Alaska's governor from 2014 to 2018. Walker's extensive political experience and leadership in Alaska's executive branch make him a significant contender in the upcoming primary.

About Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire is a former Republican member of the Alaska State Senate, serving from 2007 to 2017. She was the first woman president of the Pacific NorthWest Economic Region (PNWER) and established the Arctic Caucus. Her leadership in energy and Arctic policy, as well as women's rights, underscores her significant influence in Alaskan politics.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

Rules for Candidate:

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Primary Rule

If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Alaska Governor primary?

The Alaska Governor primary determines which candidates will represent their parties in the general election. This can significantly influence the political landscape and voter engagement in the state.

How do prediction markets work for this primary?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment about which candidates are likely to advance.

What factors could influence the odds in this primary?

Factors such as candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout in early polls can impact the odds. Additionally, endorsements and political events leading up to the primary may sway public opinion.

What does the Alaska Governor primary: who will advance prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Alaska Governor primary: who will advance odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.