Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Alaska Governor winner? (Person). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins78¢1.28xKalshiTom Begich1¢100.00xKalshiLesil McGuire1¢100.00xKalshi
Compare all 4 outcomes across 3 venues

About This Market

Traders give Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins about a 77.5% chance. Tom Begich follows at 1.0%, Lesil McGuire follows at 1.0%, and Bill Walker follows at 0.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.

Traders give Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins about a 77.5% chance. Tom Begich follows at 1.0%, Lesil McGuire follows at 1.0%, and Bill Walker follows at 0.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the Alaska gubernatorial election set for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it will determine the state's leadership and influence policy decisions on key local issues.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
JK
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
77%
Kalshi78¢
Polymarket78¢
—
Kalshi1.28x78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
77.0%76¢78¢22¢24¢
PolymarketPolymarket
77.9%78¢78¢22¢22¢
TB
Tom Begich
1%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket2¢
PredictIt2¢
Kalshi111.11x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.8%1¢1¢99¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.3%1¢2¢99¢99¢
PredictItPredictIt
—0¢2¢98¢100¢
LM
Lesil McGuire
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
BW
Bill Walker
1%
Kalshi1¢
—
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is a Democratic candidate for governor of Alaska. He served in the Alaska House of Representatives from 2013 to 2023, representing Sitka and surrounding communities. He is known for his bipartisan approach to legislation and his efforts to revitalize Alaska Native languages.

About Tom Begich

Tom Begich is a former Alaska State Senator who served from 2017 to 2023, including as Minority Leader from 2019 to 2023. He is the son of former U.S. Representative Nick Begich Sr., brother of former U.S. Senator Mark Begich, and uncle of current U.S. Representative Nick Begich III. He is currently running for governor of Alaska in the 2026 election.

About Bill Walker

Bill Walker is an independent politician and former Governor of Alaska, having served from 2014 to 2018. Before his gubernatorial tenure, he was the mayor of Valdez and co-founded a law firm specializing in municipal and oil and gas law. His extensive experience in Alaskan politics and governance makes him a significant figure in the state's political landscape.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.3%
Platforms3
Candidates4
Leader

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

77.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Alaska gubernatorial election?

Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, polling data, and key endorsements. Additionally, local issues and voter turnout projections play a crucial role.

When is the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is significant as it aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived likelihood of each candidate winning.

What does the Alaska Governor winner? (Person) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Alaska Governor winner? (Person) odds?

The latest available prices are Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 77.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.9¢ on Polymarket; Tom Begich: 0.8¢ on Kalshi, 1.3¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on PredictIt; Lesil McGuire: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Bill Walker: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

2026 California Governor Election

View

Idaho Governor Election Winner

View

2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee

View

WV-01 House Election Winner

View

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Kreiss-Tomkins Hits 84% in Alaska Governor Race as Begich Drops OutBegich's dropout and endorsement pushed JKT to 84%, but an RCV referendum on the same ballot could erase the consolidation advantage markets are pricing in.Sep 21, 2026Begich Endorses Kreiss-Tomkins, Pushing Alaska Governor Odds to 76%Tom Begich dropped out and endorsed Kreiss-Tomkins on August 31, ending Democratic vote-splitting. Kreiss-Tomkins led the August 18 primary with 21.6%.Sep 19, 2026Kreiss-Tomkins Jumps to 27% After Advancing Alaska PrimaryThe five-term Sitka Democrat cleared the top-four cutoff with 21.6% of the primary vote, pushing his win probability from 3% to 27% in three days.Aug 21, 2026Kreiss-Tomkins Jumps to 47% After Advancing in Alaska PrimaryThe former Sitka legislator cleared the August 18 top-four cutoff, converting speculative candidacy into confirmed general-election status and triggering a +40pp repricing.Aug 19, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?WONPre-event: 99%

Prediction Market Track Record

Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?LOSTPre-event: 23%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?

Resolved

2026-08-18

WONTom Begich
Pre-event: 99%

Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?

Resolved

2026-08-18

LOSTBill Walker
Pre-event: 23%