Live prediction market odds for AR-01 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the AR-01 House race set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the AR-01 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in Congress, influencing legislative priorities and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Rick Crawford (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Terri Yarbrough Green (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AR-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the AR-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and voter turnout projections are key factors. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
Winning the AR-01 House seat could help either party gain a critical edge in the House of Representatives. This could affect legislative agendas and the overall political landscape leading into the next election cycle.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
