Live prediction market odds for AR-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AR-02 House election held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AR-02 House election held on November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in shaping the balance of power in Congress, influenced by voter sentiment and national political trends.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
French Hill (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Chris Jones (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AR-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the AR-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, campaign funding, and recent polling data. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout can significantly impact the outcome.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The AR-02 House election is significant as it could determine party control in the House of Representatives. Changes in control can affect legislative priorities and governance.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
