About This Market
Traders give Bruce Westerman (R) about a 96.8% chance. James Russell (D) follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.3 percentage points.
Traders give Bruce Westerman (R) about a 96.8% chance. James Russell (D) follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.3 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AR-04 House race. This market resolves based on the official election results on November 4, 2026, with odds fluctuating due to candidate announcements and campaign activities leading up to the election.



