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Live prediction market odds for Arkansas Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Arkansas Governor winner?

2026-11-17

Best price · tap to trade

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)98¢1.02xKalshiDemocratic2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) about a 96.8% chance. Democratic follows at 3.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Traders give Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) about a 96.8% chance. Democratic follows at 3.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Arkansas gubernatorial election. The election will be decided on November 17, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate announcements and campaign developments leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
SH
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
97%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US98¢
Polymarket98¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.4%94¢98¢2¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
98.0%97¢98¢2¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%96¢98¢2¢4¢
D
Democratic
3%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%2¢6¢94¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.7%2¢4¢96¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)

Sarah Huckabee Sanders is the 47th Governor of Arkansas, inaugurated on January 10, 2023. She previously served as White House Press Secretary under President Donald J. Trump from 2017 to 2019. As governor, she has implemented significant conservative reforms, including the Arkansas LEARNS education overhaul and tax cuts.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.6%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)

96.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Arkansas Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arkansas. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the Arkansas gubernatorial election?

The Arkansas gubernatorial election is scheduled for November 17, 2026. This date marks the official election day for voters to cast their ballots.

What factors influence the odds in this market?

Odds in this market are influenced by candidate announcements, polling data, and campaign events. Changes in public opinion and endorsements can also impact the odds leading up to the election.

How do prediction markets resolve for this event?

The market resolves based on the official announcement of the winner of the Arkansas gubernatorial election. The resolution will occur shortly after the polls close on November 17, 2026.

What does the Arkansas Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Arkansas Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R): 95.4¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Democratic: 4.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.7¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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