Live prediction market odds for AZ-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AZ-03 House race held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AZ-03 House race held on November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the state.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Yassamin Ansari (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Republican Party | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AZ-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the AZ-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also significantly sway market predictions.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom and sentiment of traders regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The AZ-03 House race is pivotal as it may determine which party gains or maintains control in the House of Representatives. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for broader political trends leading into the 2026 elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
