Live prediction market odds for AZ-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Greg Stanton (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AZ-04 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AZ-04 House race. The outcome will be determined by the results of the election on November 4, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to that date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Greg Stanton (D)WINNER | Yes |
Zuhdi Jasser (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the AZ-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The AZ-04 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots for the congressional seat.
Prediction markets determine the winner based on the actual election results. Odds are influenced by various factors, including candidate campaigns and public opinion leading up to the election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms tracking the AZ-04 House winner. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments in the race.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
