Berlin state election winner?
Live prediction market odds for Berlin state election winner?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Berlin state election held on September 20, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Berlin state election held on September 20, 2026. The outcome will influence local governance and policy direction in one of Europe's major cities, making it a focal point for political analysts and voters alike.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Linke | Yes |
FW | No result |
Other | No result |
Party A | No result |
Party B | No result |
Party C | No result |
Party D | No result |
Party E | No result |
Party F | No result |
Party G | No result |
Party H | No result |
Party I | No result |
Party J | No result |
Party K | No result |
Party L | No result |
Party M | No result |
Party N | No result |
Party O | No result |
AfD | No |
BSW | No |
CDU | No |
FDP | No |
Grüne | No |
SPD | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Key factors include voter turnout, party alliances, and current political issues affecting Berlin residents. Additionally, local economic conditions and national political trends may play a significant role.
Prediction markets typically update their odds in real-time as new information becomes available, such as polling data and campaign developments. This allows participants to react quickly to changes in the political landscape.
The Berlin state election is crucial as it determines the composition of the local government and influences policies on housing, transportation, and social services. The results can also reflect broader trends in German politics leading up to national elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
