About This Market
Traders give Luiz Inácio Lula about a 59.3% chance. Flávio Bolsonaro follows at 42.5%, Fernando Haddad follows at 0.1%, and Renan Santos follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 37.0 percentage points.
Traders give Luiz Inácio Lula about a 59.3% chance. Flávio Bolsonaro follows at 42.5%, Fernando Haddad follows at 0.1%, and Renan Santos follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 37.0 percentage points.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the first round winner of the Brazil presidential election scheduled for October 4, 2026. The outcome will influence Brazil's political direction and governance, impacting both domestic policies and international relations in the region.
