Live prediction market odds for CA-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 5, 2026. Ami Bera (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of California's 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of California's 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 elections. The market resolves based on the official election results announced after polls close on November 4, 2026, and is influenced by candidate campaigns and voter turnout data leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Ami Bera (D)WINNER | Yes |
Robb Tucker (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-3 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The winner will be determined based on the official election results announced after polls close on November 4, 2026.
Odds are influenced by candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter turnout leading up to the election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the CA-03 House winner event.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
