About This Market
Traders give Ami Bera (D) about a 95.7% chance. Robb Tucker (R) follows at 3.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
Traders give Ami Bera (D) about a 95.7% chance. Robb Tucker (R) follows at 3.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of California's 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 elections. The market resolves based on the official election results announced after polls close on November 4, 2026, and is influenced by candidate campaigns and voter turnout data leading up to the election.
