CA-04 House winner?
Live prediction market odds for CA-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-04 House race set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-04 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment in California's political landscape.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Eric Jones (D) | No result |
Other | No result |
Republican Party | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Eric Jones wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Decision Desk HQ. Any references to Decision Desk HQ or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Decision Desk HQ and Polymarket US.
Odds can be affected by candidate popularity, campaign funding, and polling data. Additionally, local issues and national trends may sway voter preferences leading up to the election.
Prediction markets aggregate bets placed by participants, reflecting their beliefs about the outcomes. The prices set in these markets can indicate the perceived probability of various candidates winning.
The CA-04 House seat is vital as it contributes to the overall composition of the House of Representatives. Changes in this seat could impact legislative priorities and party control.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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