Live prediction market odds for CA-06 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-06 House election set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-06 House election set for November 3, 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Richard Pan (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Kevin Kiley | No |
Republican Party | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Richard Pan wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Additionally, national trends and party support can significantly impact the race.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The outcome of the CA-06 House election could affect the overall composition of the House of Representatives. This race may also serve as an indicator of broader political trends leading into the next election cycle.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
