CA-06 primary: Who will advance?
CA-06 primary: Who will advance?
Live prediction market odds for CA-06 primary: Who will advance?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-06 primary to determine which candidates will advance.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-06 primary to determine which candidates will advance. This primary is crucial as it shapes the electoral landscape and influences party dynamics ahead of the general election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Kevin Kiley | No result |
Lauren Babb Tomlinson | No result |
Martha Guerrero | No result |
Michael Stansfield | No result |
Richard Pan | No result |
Thien Ho | No result |
Tyler Vandenberg | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Lauren Babb Tomlinson advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
The CA-06 primary is a key event in the electoral calendar that can determine party nominations. It influences candidate strategies and voter mobilization leading up to the general election.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants, reflecting their expectations about candidates' chances. As new information emerges, such as polling data or endorsements, odds can shift significantly.
Factors influencing the odds include candidate fundraising, public appearances, and media coverage. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and demographic changes in the district can impact market predictions.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.