Live prediction market odds for CA-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Polymarket.
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Traders give Doris Matsui (D) about a 95.2% chance. Republican Party follows at 3.6%. Compare prices from Polymarket.
Traders give Doris Matsui (D) about a 95.2% chance. Republican Party follows at 3.6%. Compare prices from Polymarket.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-07 House race. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the state.
Doris Matsui (D)
95.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Doris Matsui wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-07 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, campaign funding, and polling data. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway voter preferences.
The election for the CA-07 House seat is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date aligns with the general election day in the United States.
The outcome of the CA-07 House race could affect party control in the House of Representatives. A shift in this seat may alter legislative priorities and strategies for both major parties.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Doris Matsui (D): 95.2¢ on Polymarket; Republican Party: 3.6¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
