Live prediction market odds for CA-09 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 5, 2026. Josh Harder (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-09 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-09 House race. The outcome will be determined by the election held on November 4, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to that date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Josh Harder (D)WINNER | Yes |
John McBride (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-9 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-09 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The CA-09 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date marks the general election for congressional seats.
Odds in the CA-09 House race markets change based on candidate activities, polling data, and voter engagement. Key events such as debates and endorsements can significantly impact market prices.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the CA-09 House winner. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments in the race.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
