Live prediction market odds for CA-12 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-12 House election held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-12 House election held on November 3, 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Democratic Party | Yes |
Other | No result |
Republican Party | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-12 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and recent polling data. Local issues and national trends also play a crucial role in shaping voter preferences.
The outcome can shift the balance of power in Congress, affecting legislative priorities and governance. It also serves as a bellwether for broader electoral trends in the state.
Prediction markets provide insights into the likelihood of various outcomes based on real-time betting behavior. They reflect the collective sentiment and analysis of participants regarding the election's dynamics.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
