CA-14 primary: Who will advance?
CA-14 primary: Who will advance?
Live prediction market odds for CA-14 primary: Who will advance?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the CA-14 primary to determine which candidates will advance.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the CA-14 primary to determine which candidates will advance. The outcome will influence the political landscape in California and could impact party dynamics leading up to the general election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Aisha Wahab | No result |
Carin Elam | No result |
Dena Maldonado | No result |
Matt Ortega | No result |
Melissa Hernandez | No result |
Rakhi Israni Singh | No result |
Suzanne Chenault | No result |
Victor Aguilar Jr | No result |
Wendy Huang | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Victor Aguilar advances in the 2026 CA-14 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
The CA-14 primary is crucial as it determines which candidates will represent their parties in the general election. This can shape the overall political landscape in California.
Prediction markets aggregate bets on potential outcomes, reflecting the collective sentiment and expectations of participants. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in candidate viability as new information emerges.
Factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and voter turnout will play significant roles in the primary's outcome. Additionally, local issues and national trends may also impact voter preferences.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.