Live prediction market odds for CA-15 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Kevin Mullin (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-15 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-15 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Kevin Mullin (D)WINNER | Yes |
Charles Hoelter (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-15 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-15 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by polling data, candidate profiles, and local issues that resonate with voters. Campaign funding and endorsements also play a critical role in shaping perceptions.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in Congress, affecting legislative priorities and governance. A win for one party may signal broader trends in voter behavior across the country.
The election for the CA-15 House seat is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, which includes various federal and state contests.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
