Live prediction market odds for CA-16 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-16 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-16 House race. The outcome will influence the balance of power in Congress and could impact key legislative initiatives.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Sam Liccardo (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Peter Sundin Soulé (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-16 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-16 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate polling, fundraising efforts, and voter sentiment. Changes in local and national political climates can also affect predictions.
The election for the CA-16 House seat is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.
The CA-16 House race is significant as it could determine party control in the House of Representatives. Shifts in power can lead to changes in legislative priorities and governance.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
