Live prediction market odds for CA-18 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-18 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-18 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in California.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Zoe Lofgren (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Shane Lewis (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-18 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-18 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also significantly impact market perceptions.
Prediction markets aggregate the views of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. As new information becomes available, such as debates or polling results, odds can shift to reflect changing public sentiment.
The CA-18 House seat is vital as it contributes to the overall composition of the House of Representatives. Winning this seat can enhance a party's legislative power and influence national policies.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
