Live prediction market odds for CA-19 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-19 House election held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-19 House election held on November 3, 2026. This contest will be pivotal in determining party control in Congress, influenced by local voter sentiment and national political trends.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jimmy Panetta (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Peter Verbica (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-19 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-19 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter demographics, local issues, and national political climate. Campaign strategies and candidate visibility also play significant roles.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the election outcome. Shifts in odds can indicate changing public opinion and campaign dynamics.
CA-19 has experienced competitive races in past elections, often swinging between parties. Historical voting patterns and recent demographic changes will be crucial in shaping the 2026 election.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
