Live prediction market odds for CA-20 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-20 House race, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-20 House race, set for November 3, 2026. This election will be pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the state.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Vince Fong (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Sandra Van Scotter (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-20 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-20 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and voter turnout projections are key factors. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The CA-20 House race is significant as it may determine control of the House of Representatives. Changes in representation can impact legislative priorities and the overall political landscape.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
