Live prediction market odds for CA-21 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-21 House race set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-21 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in shaping the balance of power in the House of Representatives, influencing legislative agendas and party strategies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jim Costa (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Kyle Kirkland (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-21 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-21 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and voter turnout trends. Additionally, national political climate and local issues can significantly impact voter preferences.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of each candidate winning.
The CA-21 House race is important as it can affect the overall majority in the House of Representatives. Changes in representation can lead to shifts in policy priorities and legislative effectiveness.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
