Live prediction market odds for CA-23 House winner?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-23 House race set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-23 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in determining party control in Congress, influencing legislative agendas and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jay Obernolte (R) | No result |
Other | No result |
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D) | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-23 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-23 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and local issues can significantly impact the odds. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout projections play a crucial role.
The outcome of this race could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. A change in control may lead to different legislative priorities and governance strategies.
The winner will be determined on November 3, 2026, during the general election. Results will be finalized after all votes are counted and certified.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
