Live prediction market odds for CA-24 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-24 House race.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-24 House race. This election is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in Congress and influence legislative priorities moving forward.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Salud Carbajal (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Bob Smith (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-24 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-24 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising success, and voter turnout trends. Additionally, national political climate and local issues can significantly sway public opinion.
The election for the CA-24 House seat is set for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, where multiple federal and state offices will also be contested.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and can change rapidly as new information becomes available.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
