Live prediction market odds for CA-25 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-25 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-25 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties' strategies and voter engagement.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Raul Ruiz (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Joe Males (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-25 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-25 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter turnout, candidate popularity, and campaign funding. Additionally, national issues and local concerns will play a significant role in shaping voter preferences.
Odds are based on real-time betting activity and the perceived likelihood of each candidate's success. Market participants analyze polling data, news events, and other relevant information to inform their bets.
The CA-25 House race is crucial as it may impact the overall composition of the House of Representatives. A shift in this district could affect legislative priorities and party control.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
