Live prediction market odds for CA-31 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 5, 2026. Gil Cisneros (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-31 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-31 House election. This market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 4, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Gil Cisneros (D)WINNER | Yes |
Eric Ching (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-31 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-31 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The CA-31 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date marks the general election when voters will cast their ballots.
The market resolves based on the official election results declared after the voting concludes. The winner is identified by the candidate who receives the most votes.
Odds may fluctuate due to various factors including candidate debates, campaign events, and polling data. As public opinion shifts, so too do the predictions reflected in the markets.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
