Live prediction market odds for CA-34 primary: Who will advance?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Jimmy Gomez was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-34 primary to determine which candidates will advance.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-34 primary to determine which candidates will advance. This primary is crucial as it shapes the Democratic representation in a key district, influencing broader electoral dynamics leading up to the general election.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Jimmy GomezWINNER | 93% | 98% | 50% |
Angela Gonzales-Torres | 86% | 26% | 50% |
Robert Lucero | 6% | 99% | — |
Calvin Lee | 9% | 11% | — |
Arthur Dixon | 2% | 100% | — |
Loren Colin | 2% | 2% | — |
Jimmy Gomez
95.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Angela Gonzales-Torres advances in the 2026 CA-34 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
The CA-34 primary is significant as it determines which candidates will represent the Democratic Party in a competitive district. The outcome can influence the overall balance of power in Congress.
Prediction markets reflect the CA-34 primary by aggregating bets on which candidates are likely to advance. These odds fluctuate based on polling data, candidate visibility, and campaign developments.
The CA-34 primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. This timing is critical as it occurs just months before the general election, impacting candidate strategies.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Jimmy Gomez: 93.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.6¢ on Polymarket, 50.0¢ on PredictIt; Angela Gonzales-Torres: 86.0¢ on Kalshi, 26.0¢ on Polymarket, 50.0¢ on PredictIt; Robert Lucero: 6.3¢ on Kalshi, 98.5¢ on Polymarket; Calvin Lee: 9.1¢ on Kalshi, 10.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
