Live prediction market odds for CA-35 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-35 House race, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-35 House race, set for November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in shaping the balance of power in Congress, with implications for national policy and local representation.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Norma Torres (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Mike Cargile (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-35 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-35 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of participants, often incorporating real-time information and analysis.
Control of the CA-35 seat can impact legislative priorities and party strength in Congress. This race is particularly significant as it may affect key issues such as healthcare, education, and climate policy.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
